Strategy Inspector

Breakout Guard

“the crowd at the door” · tested on real Pepperstone data across 7 pairs · MARGINAL

Verdict

Near break-even after costs — tuning (fewer, better trades; re-entry cooldown) could tip it over.

Best run · USDJPY H4

+1.8%

return

50%

win rate

1.54

profit factor

0.9%

max drawdown

trades

2.20

sharpe

The strategy's actual trades on real USDJPY H4 candles (most recent traded window).

Equity curve — every closed trade of the full test period.

Worst pairing — knowing where a strategy fails is half the tuning brief.

pair / tf	return	win%	PF	max DD	sharpe	trades
USDJPY H4	+1.8%	50%	1.54	0.9%	2.20	46
GBPUSD H4	+1.2%	48%	1.54	1.0%	2.50	23
USDCHF H4	+0.7%	45%	1.68	0.5%	2.59	22
NZDUSD H4	-0.4%	36%	0.82	1.0%	-0.99	25
USDJPY H1	-0.9%	38%	0.92	1.4%	-0.48	247
USDCAD H4	-0.9%	22%	0.58	1.5%	-2.76	18
AUDUSD H4	-1.6%	38%	0.43	1.8%	-4.65	26
EURUSD H4	-1.6%	30%	0.35	1.6%	-6.33	30
NZDUSD H1	-2.2%	27%	0.61	2.3%	-3.02	121
AUDUSD H1	-2.4%	28%	0.64	3.9%	-2.56	159
USDCHF H1	-9.2%	33%	0.57	9.6%	-3.47	373
USDCAD H1	-9.2%	33%	0.64	9.4%	-2.72	467
GBPUSD H1	-9.3%	36%	0.70	10.2%	-2.11	423
EURUSD H1	-9.4%	31%	0.61	9.5%	-3.04	421