Trend Rider
“the speedboat/tanker with an ADX bouncer” · tested on real Pepperstone data across 7 pairs · MARGINAL
Verdict
Near break-even after costs — tuning (fewer, better trades; re-entry cooldown) could tip it over.
Best run · USDCAD H4
+1.0%
return
48%
win rate
1.11
profit factor
2.2%
max drawdown
87
trades
0.62
sharpe
Worst run · GBPUSD H1 -6.9%
All 14 runs
| pair / tf | return | win% | PF | max DD | sharpe | trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USDCAD H4 | +1.0% | 48% | 1.11 | 2.2% | 0.62 | 87 |
| USDJPY H1 | +0.8% | 52% | 1.10 | 2.9% | 0.44 | 190 |
| AUDUSD H1 | +0.6% | 48% | 1.08 | 1.5% | 0.44 | 191 |
| USDJPY H4 | +0.4% | 50% | 1.05 | 2.3% | 0.26 | 116 |
| USDCHF H1 | -0.1% | 47% | 0.99 | 2.3% | -0.05 | 209 |
| EURUSD H4 | -0.7% | 49% | 0.93 | 3.2% | -0.44 | 109 |
| USDCHF H4 | -1.2% | 45% | 0.85 | 2.3% | -1.09 | 105 |
| AUDUSD H4 | -1.8% | 47% | 0.73 | 2.6% | -1.96 | 96 |
| NZDUSD H4 | -1.9% | 42% | 0.76 | 2.9% | -1.63 | 99 |
| EURUSD H1 | -3.0% | 40% | 0.77 | 3.7% | -1.54 | 222 |
| USDCAD H1 | -3.2% | 40% | 0.70 | 3.4% | -2.18 | 175 |
| GBPUSD H4 | -3.7% | 49% | 0.75 | 4.9% | -1.65 | 113 |
| NZDUSD H1 | -4.1% | 42% | 0.59 | 4.2% | -3.12 | 214 |
| GBPUSD H1 | -6.9% | 43% | 0.61 | 7.7% | -3.00 | 235 |